Saturday’s action is at Kenilworth with the L'Ormarins Kings Plate, Cartier Paddock Stakes and five other feature races. It is one of the most prestigious race days on the SA racing calender.
There is also a P6 carryover of R1 million with a likely pool climbing to R5 million. Bear in mind it’s sometimes better to go race by race and bet only when you have a strong opinion. All it takes is one miscue and you’re out the P6.
Nevertheless, taking a shot at the P6 on King’s Plate Day is a fun way to get involved, and potentially hugely rewarding if you can wend your way through the sequence with some winning longshots on your ticket.
It starts in Race 4 - off time 14h15.
Possible bankers are highlighted in BOLD. Genuine contenders are listed in each race.
Leg 1 Sceptre Stakes (G2):
Gimmie’s Countess (speed score 108) and Asiye Phambili (s/s 107) stand out in the opener. As the other legs are difficult, we need to go short somewhere to reduce the cost of the perm. Marginal cases can be made for Summer Lily (s/s 105) plus Bass Racing’s Symphony in White (s/s 102) and Roccapina (s/s 102).
Leg 2 Premier Trophy (G2):
Rascallion (s/s 111) takes on Zapatillas (s/s 109) again in a repeat of their clash in the Cape Mile. Future Swing (s/s 108) could be dangerous with the magical, Oisin Murphy steering. Those three can form the main group as they are proven in races at this class level. Back up’s include the erratic, Without Question (s/s 108) ultra game, Sugar Mountain (s/s 105) progressive, Magic Verse (s/s 104) and Snaith stable mate’s Rapidash (s/s 103) and Triple Time (s/s 102).
Leg 3 Paddock Stakes (G1):
The top three selections are Double Grand Slam (s/s 108), Saartjie (s/s 106) and the 3-year-old, World of Alice (s/s 103). That might be sufficient cover. The slight preference is for Saartjie in what should be a hard run 1800m. She can break her string of narrow misses in big races and get a deserved G1 gold gong. On bigger perms, the additional horses could be Rascova (s/s 105), Red Palace (s/s 104) and Silver Sanctuary (s/s 102).
Leg 4 King’s Plate (G1):
On the speed figures, Gimme a Prince (s/s 118) is one of the most brilliant horses to have raced in SA in the modern era. He’s hit big numbers over 1000m and 1400m – can he run to that level over a mile? He may well be able to do so, as last time he scored 113+ in the Cape Mile after a difficult trip. The King’s Plate has been his target for some time, and Dean Kannemeyer’s star gets the opportunity to write his name into the history books. He faces multiple, formidable challenges. Oriental Charm (s/s 111) will make his own luck racing handy from a low draw. On collateral form, Royal Aussie (s/s 112) has a similar chance to the Durban July winning, “Charmer.” Snow Pilot (s/s 108) and Montien (s/s 111) are hung out wide but have the pace to secure prominent positions. Even if he mixes his form and is a query over 1600m, can Lucky Lad (s/s 111) who is a prove G1 victor, be tossed out? Atticus Finch (s/s 110) is another Highveld campaigner with queries (he may prefer further) but is bang there on the figs. And, wherever Lucky Lad finishes, At My Command (s/s 109) is rated to be upsides. What about the 3-year-olds? One Stripe (s/s 107+) comfortably holds older rival Snow Pilot on their October clash and is tactically versatile so should get a saloon passage from draw 5. Great Plains (s/s 104) has a sharp turn of foot but appears held safe by One Plains on the Cape Guineas form. This promises to be a race for the ages!
Leg 5 Chairman’s Cup (G3):
This is a cast-a-wide-net scenario due to the wide spread of form and close ratings. The simplest is to include all runners and mark the Field, though costs then escalate by a factor of 11. Eliminating some runners carries a risk but obviously brings down expenses. Tossing Nebraas, Vihaan’s Bomb & Navy Strength is tempting fate, but others are preferred, and it shaves 23% off the perm. The skinniest short list I can come up with is Prevalence (s/s 99), Daimyo (s/s 99), King Pelles (s/s 99) and Holding Thumbs (s/s 97) – all four are fighting fit, capable, lightly weighted stayers.
Leg 6 Middle Stakes:
16 runners over 1400m makes for a tough final hurdle to jump. Despite their wide draws, Garrix (s/s 101) and Gallic Dream (s/s 101) plus Oliver (s/s 103) who is drawn in the middle of the pack, must go in. Let it Be Said (s/s 97+) could be leniently handicapped and is another must use in the Main Group. Innamorare (s/s 101), O’Tenikwa (s/s 100), Sail the Seas (s/s 102) and Big Unit (s/s 99) are other plausible contenders for deep-pocketed investors.
All the best with your P6 wagers! The Interbet Tote platform enables punters to access the full array of exotic bets. All money wagered goes into the official SAF Tote pools.
For those bettors who prefer punting at fixed odds, the Interbet Exchange offers outstanding value close to the off. As the market takes shape, horses shorten or drift. Keep a bead on those movements and try securing the most favourable odds about your fancy.
In a tough game where profit margins are slim, sneaking a few extra points can be the difference between a winning or losing day.
Enjoy an amazing day at the races!