Epl 10 25 February 2025
Tuesday, 25 February 2025Teams are entering the closing third period of the EPL. Injuries and squad depth become an issue; the impact of replacement managers play a role and the ability to withstand scoreboard pressure at the top, or bottom for relegation threatened sides becomes key.
Topical questions generate debate amongst fans, such as which of these ace strikers are going to smash in more goals? Will it be Salah, Wood, Haaland, Mbeumo or Cunha to make the highlights reel?
The midweek fixtures (starting 21h30 on Tuesday evening when Brighton play Bournemouth and ending with the 22h00 game between West Ham and Leicester City on Thursday night) are a typically competitive batch and not easy to predict.
BRIGHTON 40 V BOURNEMOUTH 46: The 9th and 6th on the log clash with Bournemouth having a tiny edge on the Goal Guru Index. At the very least, cover the draw [2] as well as an away victory [3], and if you believe the Seagulls can take advantage of playing at home, then add [1] to your play.
WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS 25 V FULHAM 43: the visitors again rank higher both on the League table and the GGI metric. Given the significant 18- point edge held by Fulham, they might be chanced to win outright. [3]
CRYSTAL PALACE 32 V ASTON VILLA 36: this really is too tight to call with any conviction. Cover all three possible results [1] [2] & [3]
CHELSEA 48 V SOUTHAMPTON 19: Southampton have a terrible goal difference of – 42 and are the worst side in the League. With Palmer likely to return to form, Chelsea are short-priced favourites at 1/5 odds on to secure the win. [1]
BRENTFORD 37 V EVERTON 27: This is a tricky tussle with Everton enjoying a resurgence and their actual and expected Goal Difference after 26 matches creeping up to nearly equal (-4). Brentford might just sneak a result [1], but taking the draw [2], at least, is a prudent back up. Adding an away win [3], covers all bases and that is what we’ll do.
MANCHESTER UNITED 37 V IPSWICH 15: United are 5/10 odds on to sweep aside Ipswich. You don’t want to bet the ranch on an ordinary United side, yet they are way better than these rivals who have won only three of 26 games.
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 46 V MANCHESTER CITY 56: Mercurial on offense, but leaky in defence, Spurs versus a generally very good, but occasionally misfiring City is the brief summation. City comes here with a ten-point advantage and may expose Spurs’ defensive shortcomings, but the draw is a possibility and can boost dividends. [2] [3]
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 32 V ARSENAL 52: Throughout the season, the GGI numbers have not supported Nott’s high riding position on the table, and they are currently not “burgling” wins like before. Their actual Goal Difference of +11; Expected Goal Difference of just 2.2 and G.G.I. metric of 32 would typically be good enough to be mid-table, not a remarkable 3rd with 14 wins. For their part Arsenal seem to be faltering as well so cannot be supported with confidence. The compromise strategy kicks in – top on the GGI to win and cover the draw. [2] [3]
LIVERPOOL 65 V NEWCASTLE 46: if anybody can stop the dangerous Isak it’s masterful Red’s defender, van Dijk. Neutralizing Newcastle’s 19 x goal scorer, swings it in favour of the clear log leaders (11 points to the good) who are tipped to win for the 20th time this season.[1]
WEST HAM UNITED 32 V LEICESTER CITY 19: Bowen really is a stalwart for the Hammers, popping up when needed to score crucial goals. He did so again to sink Arsenal over the weekend and can play a key role in helping Potter’s committed team defeat the visiting Foxes.
Suggested perm of 108 combinations, which can be taken at the minimum unit of 10c, for a spend of only R10.80.
1 2 3 x 3 x 1 2 3 x 1 x 1 2 3 x 1 x 2 3 x 2 3 x 1 x 1 = 108 combinations.
