From The Horse's Mouth - Mark Van Deventer

The Goal Guru has been casting his beady eye on Matchweek 10’s games in the EPL.

The sequence starts at 22h00 on Friday night when Everton host Coventry and concludes on Sunday evening when an under-pressure, Manchester United confront Aston Villa.

Make no mistake, the Interbet EPL 10 is a challenging bet to catch. Being right across a long sequence is difficult, for sure, but the payoff can multiply to be substantial. It is a classic risk and reward scenario!

The ten-cent minimum on the Interbet EPL 10 does provide flexibility and makes it more affordable to add a range of possible results to your ticket. Within reasonable/ responsible limits, of course.

As a backup ploy, you can always take your favourite teams in shorter, higher probability multis as a complimentary strategy to the EPL 10. 

1. EVERTON 40 vs COVENTRY 30: David Moyes’ side is 7/10 to secure a home victory. It will most likely be a low scoring game as Everton don’t score prolifically (though striker Thierno Barry is getting his sights in recently) and Coventry have been goal shy on the road. Whilst Everton are close to 60% likely to get all the points – let’s add the draw. [1 2]

2. LEEDS UNITED 38 vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 48: What a revelation Spurs have been in recent matches! It does help if the opposition are down to ten men, but still. Their results (and performance metric) have been trending sharply upwards. Even though Daniel Farke’s side are on a five-match winless blip, playing Leeds at Elland Road is always a tough mission, so the draw is added to the bet slip. [2 3]

3. ARSENAL 56 vs HULL CITY 39: Hull are direct, press well and typically do all the fundamentals correctly. They have coped admirably with the demands of being in the EPL. However, defending champions, Arsenal are a formidable outfit with a big edge on the Goal Guru Index so are heavily favored to win yet again. [1]

4. FULHAM 43 vs NEWCASTLE 32: Overall, Fulham has looked the better side and Newcastle appear to have some issues settling down under new manager, Jaissle. A slight edge on the G.G.I. plus home ground advantage, suggests Fulham will prevail. Adding the draw gives extra cover. [1 2]

5. NOTTINGHAM FOREST 44 vs MANCHESTER CITY 57: Forest have underperformed their solid underlying metrics and can revert to peak form at any point, so it might be an error to assume City are “certainties.” Including the draw at 4.0 is a possible price boosting gamble against the 7/10 favored visitors. [2 3]

6. SUNDERLAND 25 vs CHELSEA 44: Sunderland have looked shaky in the Prem this year and have a Euro commitment on Thursday to add to their workload. Chelsea, with a significant 19-point advantage on the G.G.I., are “singled.” [3]

7. BRIGHTON 59 vs BRENTFORD 47: 3rd on the log Brighton take on 6th placed Brentford in a high-quality showdown. The home side are 9/10 odds on to win. No quibbles with fans choosing to banker them, though travelling, Brentford could easily hold them to a draw. [1 2]

8. IPSWICH 28 vs BOURNEMOUTH 49: To keep costs in check, a resurgent Bournemouth (won their last three matches) are singled against Ipswich, one of the weaker sides in the EPL as measured by the G.G.I. [3]

9. CRYSTAL PALACE 20 vs LIVERPOOL 44: Speaking of battlers, Crystal Palace have dropped to the lowest G.G.I. rating of all after a series of dire performances where they have failed to find the net in the last three losing games. Liverpool has been a bit stop/start this term (four wins, three draws and two losses) yet are gambled on to get all three points. [3]

10. MANCHESTER UNITED 28 vs ASTON VILLA 37: They are right next to one another in the middle of the table. Villa has better current form, whilst Man U are trying to arrest a precipitous domestic decline. A dramatic victory over Roma midweek will lift United supporters’ spirits considerably. If making it so far, then having all three results covered would be reassuring. [1 2 3]

Here is the suggested perm for Matchweek 10:

1 2 x 2 3 x 1 x 1 2 x 2 3 x 3 x 1 2 x 3 x 3 x 1 2 3 = R96.00 which can be taken for fun at the ten-cent unit for R9.60

Good luck and enjoy the soccer!