Match Week 27
Thursday 19 February, 2026Moving into Match Week 27 there is everything to play for in the exciting Interbet EPL 10, with gaps narrowing between contenders at both the top and bottom ends of the table.
Please note, the Goal Guru has tweaked the rating system slightly. Without making a significant change to the substance of the numbers, alert followers will detect a subtle shift in the scale/range of the Goal Guru Index (G.G.I.) figures.
There are six odds on favorites this weekend – Aston Villa, Chelsea, Manchester City, Crystal Palace, Liverpool and Arsenal. Odds on means they have a better than 50% chance of success – according to the market. This ranges from 55% for Villa and Liverpool, to an 83% chance of victory for Chelsea.
Let’s look at all ten games more closely:
1. ASTON VILLA 44 vs LEEDS UNITED 34: Emery is an amazing manager who consistently outperforms metrics such as xG wherever he works and, put simply, just gets his side to win. He ensures Villa control the tempo of the game and clog up the middle of the pitch making it hard for opponents. As such, the high-flying hosts with formidable goalie, Martinez between the sticks and Watkins/Rogers pacy upfront threats, are preferred over rugged, Leeds who have only lost twice from their last 13 games. The draw is added as protection. [1][2]
2. BRENTFORD 46 vs BRIGHTON 37: Thiago has been a revelation this season with 17 goals. The world class striker is the main reason Brentford are perched at 7th on the table. Verbruggen has been fishing balls out of the Seagullls net recently and he could be under pressure again with 14th placed Brighton mired in a winless run. But a draw for the enigmatic visitors is not ruled out. [1][2]
3. CHELSEA 69 vs BURNLEY 3: One of the biggest mismatches of the weekend. On paper given a 66-point edge by Goal Guru, and based on the efficient, short-market price of 1/5 odds on, Chelsea should see off Burnley without a hitch. [1]
4. WEST HAM UNITED 30 vs BOURNEMOUTH 51: Whilst the visitors have a clear advantage on the G.G.I. this is a more difficult outcome to predict between two in-form sides. Bournemouth are now playing to their true ability. And West Ham shows renewed vigour with Nuno’s squad transformed under coach, Paco Jemez. [1][2][3]
5. MANCHESTER CITY 67 vs NEWCASTLE 49: City are given a 70% chance of beating Newcastle by the oddsmakers as they forge ever closer towards log leaders, Arsenal. It’s mighty hard to get past rubber-man, Donnarumma in goal and Eddie Howe’s travellers have not been convincing of late – losing three on the bounce before struggling past a feeble Spurs. Understand if some bettors prefer to cover the draw and try boost dividends that way but it does double the cost of the ticket. So, we gamble by singling City. [1]
6. CRYSTAL PALACE 46 vs WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS 2: The bookies assess Palace a better than 60% chance of taking out Wolves, confirmed by their 44-point supremacy on the G.G.I. But Palace have not been functioning at full revs for some time and covering the draw may be prudent. After all, Wolves surprisingly , and admirably, secured a draw vs Arsenal on Wednesday night. [1] [2]
7. NOTTINGHAM FOREST 23 vs LIVERPOOL 56: Forest have lurched to a fourth manager (Vitor Pereira) as they tumble down the table into the danger zone. Liverpool will try take advantage of their opposition’s disarray and condemn them to another loss at the City Ground on Sunday. [3]
8. SUNDERLAND 29 vs FULHAM 32: Sunderland are regressing after a bright start, whilst Fulham are also battling. Neither side can be supported with any confidence. This is one of the most tightly contested games of the weekend and covering all three results is the suggestion. [1][2][3]
9. TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 31 vs ARSENAL 81: On the skids, Spurs have parted ways with Frank. New head coach in North London, Igor Tudor needs to urgently fix a defensively inept side with limited attacking threat who are yet to win a League match in 2026 and have, dismally, only won two of their last 17 games. Finding a sudden remedy against top of the pops, Arsenal will most likely prove beyond them. The Gunners are singled. [3]
10. EVERTON 35 vs MANCHESTER UNITED 59: United are one of just three sides not to have lost in their past five matches – Bournemouth and Chelsea are the other two. They will try stretching that streak again Moyes’s home team who can be hard to break down and have the acrobatic Pickford in goal. [2][3]
The Goal Guru’s suggested Interbet EPL 10 perm for MatchWeek 27 follows:
1 2 x 1 2 x 1 x 1 2 3 x 1 x 1 2 x 3 x 1 2 3 x 3 x 2 3 = R144.00
Good luck and enjoy the soccer!
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