Interbet Epl 10 - Match Week 22
Friday, 16 January 2026The frenetic Festive Season saw squads taxed to the limit by a busy schedule. We can’t be sure, but fatigue may have contributed to a greater than usual number of goal-less draws since Christmas Day - 17% opposed to the normal 5%.
An interesting article on the Opta website on player fatigue suggests that certain sides could improve in the second part of the season. They suggest West Ham, Manchester United, Aston Villa and Wolves may fare better as their squads have played relatively fewer games, rotated well and don’t run nor sprint as much as rival teams, and hence have fewer injuries.
Let’s see how that works out as we move into a spellbinding Match Week 22 headlined by the Manchester Derby!
1. MANCHESTER UNITED 44 VS MANCHESTER CITY 49: Even though United are wobbling somewhat and 7th on the table, this is still a tough assignment for City who are trying to close a six-point gap on log leaders, Arsenal, and need to pick up wins. United are out of the League, FA Cup and European Championships, so are playing the least number of matches (40) in a season since 1914. No arguments with sceptics who oppose Carrick’s crew and stick with City, but we take a chance on an Old Trafford rearguard action in this Manchester Derby. [1][2][3]
2. SUNDERLAND 27 VS CRYSTAL PALACE 29: Only two points separate these two sides on the log and on the Goal Guru Index (marginally in the visitors’ favour) yet not enough to hold a strong opinion on the outcome. But Palace contrived to lose to Macclesfield FC in an FA Cup shocker during the week which raises a huge question mark on the current form. That problem is caused by them having more injuries in their squad than any Premier League side. [1][2][3]
3. CHELSEA 44 VS BRENTFORD 28: The trusty G.G.I. reveals a 16- point advantage to Chelsea and they are gambled upon to get the job done even though Brentford are ahead of them on the table – 5th as opposed to 8th. Chelsea will have to find a way to neutralize Thiago who has now scored 16 goals, just four less than City’s Haaland, so understand completely if readers take a different view. This in the context of unsettled Chelsea’s managerial switch, and the fact that they have played more matches than any other EPL side, and could be fatigued. But let’s roll the dice on [1] coming up in the bigger perm.
4. LIVERPOOL 55 VS BURNLEY 8: Nothing earth -shattering here as Liverpool are bankered at home to see off their guests despite Burnley scrapping their way to three draws out of their past five games. [1]
5. LEEDS UNITED 29 VS FULHAM 34: This could be a titanic struggle! Fulham may edge it on the G.G.I. and occupy a superior position on the table (9th vs 16th) but opposing Leeds at Elland Road is unwise. [1][2][3]
6. TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 28 VS WEST HAM UNITED 16: Two sides who have not given their fans much satisfaction this season, with the Hammers in a particularly perilous position. They had a run of seemingly winnable fixtures in which, if they had played well, would have seen them progress out of danger. Instead, they blew it badly and now are 90% likely to take the dreaded drop. Singling Spurs could be the way to go if shaving costs is the purpose. They have, however, only won a third of their games and are not convincing, so adding the draw or a surprise victory for the desperate Iron is optional. [1][2] [3]
7. NOTTINGHAM FOREST 33 VS ARSENAL 57: Though held to a recent draw by Liverpool, the Gunners are blazing away atop the table with a positive Goal Difference of 26 – an impressive number only matched by Manchester City. For their part, Forest pulled off a crucial if fortuitous, win over relegation threatened rivals West Ham. But they should be outplayed by Arteta’s skillful and well-drilled troops who the astute Opta Analysts give a 86% probability of winning the EPL. [3]
8. WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS 15 VS NEWCASTLE 45: This should be another away win. Wolves, with a fresher squad than many other EPL teams have dodged defeat in their last three games, but will be hard pressed to avoid losing to an already stronger side that is trending positively. [3]
9. ASTON VILLA 34 VS EVERTON 26: The 3rd placed Villains could well take this over 12th ranked Everton who were heavily reliant on Dewesbury- Hall till he suffered a hamstring injury, but an 8-point margin on the G.G.I is not hugely significant. [1][2][3]
10. BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION 36 VS BOURNEMOUTH 35: Too close to call based on EPL log points and the G.G.I. If we’ve made it so far, we don’t want to miss the final match by splitting hairs as to whether Brighton’s Welbeck or Bournemouth’s Semenyo is the more dangerous marksman. Let’s cover all three outcomes to be sure. [1][2][3]
Below is a guideline Interbet EPL 10 perm for Match Week 22 which has four bankers (Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal and Newcastle) and six “fields”:
1 2 3 x 1 2 3 x 1 x 1 x 1 2 3 x 1 2 3 x 3 x 3 x 1 2 3 x 1 2 3 = R729.00
Here is a skinny, altered version for players on smaller budgets which has five singles (Liverpool, Spurs, Arsenal, Newcastle & Aston Villa) :
2 3 x 1 2 x 1 2 3 x 1 x 1 2 3 x 1 x 3 x 3 x 1 x 1 2 3 = R108.00 which can be taken at the ten cents unit for R10.80.
Good luck and enjoy the soccer!
