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From The Horse's Mouth - Mark Van Deventer

Interbet Betting Blog

Match Week 25

The Goal Guru came agonizingly close last week to calling ten correctly -  City blowing a two-goal lead against Spurs proving the only miscue. 

What lies in store in Match Week 25?

1. LEEDS UNITED 30 vs NOTTINGHAM FOREST 38: Leeds are excellent at Elland Road, and they need to maintain that form in what amounts to a relegation six-pointer. This is going to be tight with so much at stake. Forest rate marginally ahead on the G.G.I. Let’s start our Interbet EPL 10 ticket by covering all three results. [1][2][3]

2. MANCHESTER UNITED 49 vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR 28: With Fernandez red-hot, United are doing tremendously well at present. It can be argued that they are building on the solid foundation laid by Amorim, but his stubbornness and run ins with the owners saw him being discarded, and now Carrick is getting the credit as results start to confirm United’s good underlying metrics. Spurs’ excellent play for a segment of the second half v City was notable, but they are unlikely to sustain that level. United, a hard to beat side, are gambled upon and singled. [1]

3. WOLVERHAMPTON UNITED 23 vs CHELSEA 42: It’s not so obvious just peeking at the table, yet Wolves actually has one of the best defenses in the League and won’t be pushovers. Yet Chelsea possesses a clear 19-point advantage on the G.G.I. and are bankered. [3]

4. BOURNEMOUTH 36 vs ASTON VILLA 32: Maybe Bournemouth can just edge this one as they have gotten going again despite losing key attackers. Villa was unlucky not to see off Brentford and in any case are higher on the table than the home side. As this could go either way we make no attempt to split hairs. [1][2][3]

5. FULHAM 32 vs EVERTON 27: Fulham play really attractive soccer and might so easily have obtained a result versus United who scraped in with an injury time goal. As for the Toffees, they are not quite clicking in attack and losing Grealish to injury for the rest of the season is a crushing blow. [1][2]

6. ARSENAL 53 vs SUNDERLAND 22: Most pundits agree that the Gunners are well on track to win the EPL. To do so they must continue seeing off teams like Sunderland, a bunch of notoriously poor travelers. [1]

7. BURNLEY 14 vs WEST HAM UNITED 23: This is a bottom end of the table clash and a must win for West Ham who are looking an improved outfit recently. Sommerville has scored in his last four games – maybe he can rescue the beleaguered Hammers who are given only an 18% chance by Opta Stats of staying up. [2][3]

8. NEWCASTLE 47 vs BRENTFORD 31: The home team are inconsistent yet score high on the G.G.I. They are preferred over Brentford, a solid and dependable side who might be outplayed if Newcastle’s true quality comes to the fore. We cover the draw out of respect for Brentford’s competitiveness.[1][2]

9. BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 36 vs CRYSTAL PALACE 33: Neither side is doing particularly well now. Brighton has underperformed which is placing their manager, Hurzeler under pressure, whilst Palace’s depleted squad are on a protracted downer. [1][2][3]

10. LIVERPOOL 54 vs MANCHESTER CITY 49: Big money signing Wirtz is showing his worth as Liverpool are gaining momentum after a mid-season wobble. For City, it’s an opposite scenario as their season has been pretty good overall yet they are showing signs of flakiness recently. Too close to call. [1][2][3]

The Goal Guru’s suggested Interbet EPL 10 perm follows:

1 2 3 x 1 x 3 x 1 2 3 x 1 2 x 1 x 2 3 x 1 2 x 1 2 3 x 1 2 3 = R648.00

Another option is to also single Fulham & West Ham which will reduce the perm. 

Both tickets can be taken at a ten cents unit to contain costs:

1 2 3 x 1 x 3 x 1 2 3 x 1 2 x 1 x 3 x 1 2 x 1 2 3 x 1 2 3 = R162.00

Good luck and enjoy the soccer!

 

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Mark van Deventer
Mark Van Deventer

Mark van Deventer has been refining his speed figures for thoroughbred racehorses over three decades. He’s long been intrigued by the intellectual puzzle of form study. Andrew Beyer, creator of the Beyer speed figures in America, has always been his inspirational “guru.” So, the figures that underpin Mark’s analysis use Beyer’s main concepts, and have been adapted to suit South African racecourses.

The racing bug can be compelling - since 2013, this U.C.T. Psychology graduate has settled into a career as a full time journalist and racing manager.

Mark uses the insights gained from time-based analysis to convey well-researched handicapping opinions, building a reputation of integrity in the media as an imaginative handicapper with the ability to unearth live runners at juicy prices.

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